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Superforecasting
The Art and Science of Prediction
- Random House
- by Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner
More Information
Publisher | Random House |
---|---|
ISBN | 9781847947154 |
Author(s) | Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner |
Publication date | April 2016 |
Edition | Pb (B) |
Dimensions | mm |
Language(s) | Eng. ed. |
Description
Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.